Varese vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
FIO
25%
28%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
TOR
2 - 1
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACM
23%
30%
47%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 1
ROM
39%
28%
32%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
BOL
1 - 2
INT
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOL
25%
28%
47%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
TOR
3 - 0
BOL
48%
27%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
BOL
1 - 0
PIS
73%
17%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |