Varese vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
21.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 0
VAR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOL
34%
28%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 2
FIO
25%
28%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
TOR
2 - 1
VAR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACM
23%
30%
47%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 1
FIO
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATL
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
CAG
1 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROM
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
ATL
5 - 2
VER
54%
27%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |