Varese vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
VIC
1 - 0
VAR
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
VAR
5 - 0
JUV
32%
32%
36%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
SAM
1 - 1
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
FIO
28%
28%
44%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACM
26%
29%
46%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
INT
3 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATL
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAP
37%
30%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAM
45%
29%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |