Varese vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CES
2 - 2
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
PRO
39%
28%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
REG
3 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
SPA
41%
30%
30%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 0
PAD
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 2
SPE
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 1
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SAS
1 - 0
SPE
32%
29%
39%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 4
SPE
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |