Varese vs AS Bra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAR
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
GOZ
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 1
VAR
11%
20%
68%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASD
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DER
1 - 1
VAR
7%
18%
76%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
INV
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
ASD
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
BOR
80%
12%
7%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
ASD
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
90%
7%
3%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |