Varese vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 1
PIS
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1982 |
LAZ
3 - 2
VAR
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
ASC
2 - 1
SAM
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ASC
4 - 2
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 3
ASC
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
ASC
2 - 1
BOL
51%
28%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
ROM
2 - 1
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |