Varese vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAR
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
TER
1 - 0
VAR
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 1
VAR
74%
16%
11%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASS
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
LEC
45%
29%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
AVE
0 - 0
ASC
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
COM
1 - 2
ASC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 1
ATL
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |