Varese vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 0
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 2
NAP
32%
32%
36%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
VIC
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
VAR
0 - 1
ACM
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
AVE
0 - 1
ASC
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ASC
0 - 0
CAG
40%
31%
30%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
ASC
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |