Varese vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 1
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
34%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 2
NOV
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
2 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
SAS
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ACP
0 - 1
CTT
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
SPE
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
CTT
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 0
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |