Varese vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 2
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
1 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 2
TRA
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 0
VAR
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 2
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 3
BAR
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOD
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 0
BAR
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |