Varese vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
PAL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 0
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
3 - 1
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
CES
3 - 0
VAR
51%
27%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASS
45%
31%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
49%
30%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
PIS
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
SAM
4 - 0
BAR
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |