Varese vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
PAL
0 - 0
VAR
35%
31%
35%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
POT
2 - 1
VAR
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
SAM
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
USA
0 - 3
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 2
REG
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 1
REG
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
REG
1 - 1
MOD
42%
29%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
CAT
3 - 0
REG
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
REG
0 - 0
VER
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |