Varese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
RIM
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 0
VAR
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
2 - 2
REG
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAG
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -4 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
USA
2 - 0
PAV
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1955 |
PAV
0 - 2
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
PAV
2 - 1
MES
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |