Varese vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PRG
4 - 1
VAR
47%
32%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
29%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
COM
0 - 0
VAR
54%
29%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
ARZ
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 0
SSS
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 1
ASS
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAD
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
USC
4 - 0
ASS
58%
26%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ASS
0 - 1
FCC
55%
27%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |