Varese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
24.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
TAR
3 - 2
VAR
42%
31%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 0
TER
49%
29%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 1
PES
42%
32%
26%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
UDI
1 - 0
VAR
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CES
1 - 0
RIM
57%
27%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CES
1 - 2
SPA
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 1
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 0
CES
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
PIS
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |