Varese vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
26%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CAG
4 - 3
VAR
58%
25%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 3
ASC
52%
28%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
SAM
0 - 0
VAR
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
59%
26%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
TER
1 - 0
VAR
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1977 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
CES
1 - 0
CAG
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ASS
1 - 2
CES
45%
29%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
CES
0 - 1
FCC
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |