Varese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
58.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
PRG
25%
28%
47%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 2
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 1
ACM
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ACL
1 - 0
ARZ
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
REG
3 - 0
ARZ
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PDC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 2
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |