Varese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
28.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
VAR
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 3
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 2
VAR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
VAR
1 - 1
LIV
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
ARZ
0 - 0
SPA
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 0
ARZ
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2001 |
ARZ
3 - 1
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 1
ARZ
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2001 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PIS
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |