Varese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 2
CAM
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
VAR
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
GEN
43%
30%
28%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAD
43%
30%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 0
ARZ
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
EMP
42%
30%
28%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
CES
1 - 2
ARZ
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |