Varese vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
PIS
0 - 1
VAR
31%
31%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 0
SAL
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 0
VAR
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
LIV
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 0
NOV
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1966 |
REG
5 - 0
ARZ
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1966 |
SAV
3 - 2
ARZ
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
ARZ
2 - 4
POT
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
SAL
1 - 0
ARZ
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |