As Sersale vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
ASS
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 2
RAA
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 0
ASS
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
PAL
11%
17%
72%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GEL
4 - 0
ASS
88%
8%
3%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 0
TUR
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
TUR
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
2 - 1
USC
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 0
TUR
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 0
DTO
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |