As Sersale vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RAA
1 - 0
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEL
9%
15%
76%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
FCI
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | +5 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
85%
10%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GLA
2 - 1
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
REN
0 - 3
GLA
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAV
2 - 2
REN
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
REN
4 - 0
SAR
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NFR
2 - 3
REN
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
REN
4 - 1
ROC
54%
25%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |