As Sersale vs Pomigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
74%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
ASS
88%
8%
3%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
TUR
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
ASS
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 2
RAA
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FCI
3 - 0
ASS
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
POM
3 - 1
ROC
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
1 - 0
POM
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POM
2 - 1
USC
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
2 - 3
POM
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
POM
2 - 0
DTO
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |