As Sersale vs Gragnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SIC
1 - 0
ASS
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
POM
9%
17%
74%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
ASS
88%
8%
3%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
TUR
9%
16%
75%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REN
0 - 0
ASS
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 0
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GRA
6 - 2
USC
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NFR
2 - 2
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DTO
1 - 1
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |