As Sersale vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Sersale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
85%
10%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GLA
2 - 1
ASS
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 2
CAV
7%
14%
79%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAR
4 - 0
ASS
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
ROC
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAV
1 - 0
FCI
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
FCI
2 - 1
SAR
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
2 - 1
NFR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
FCI
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FCI
0 - 0
USC
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |