Real Bamako vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Bamako
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
ASR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ASR
1 - 1
YOU
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ASR
1 - 1
USM
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TPM
3 - 1
ASR
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
POL
1 - 0
ASR
31%
30%
40%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
USM
1 - 0
TPM
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TPM
0 - 2
USM
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
YOU
3 - 1
TPM
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TPM
3 - 1
ASR
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
RAN
1 - 0
TPM
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |