As Pontes vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ORD
2 - 2
ASP
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ASP
1 - 2
ALO
48%
25%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BER
0 - 1
ASP
25%
25%
50%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ASP
2 - 2
RCF
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
EST
2 - 0
ASP
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
NEG
2 - 2
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CER
0 - 1
NEG
60%
23%
18%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NEG
0 - 3
ORD
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ALO
0 - 0
NEG
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
NEG
1 - 0
BER
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |