As Pontes vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
LUG
2 - 1
ASP
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
ASP
2 - 0
GET
38%
30%
32%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
TAL
1 - 0
ASP
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
ASP
1 - 2
CAR
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
ROB
1 - 2
ASP
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
RMC
5 - 2
ARA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
COL
2 - 2
RMC
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
RMC
1 - 2
SPB
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RCF
3 - 4
RMC
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
RMC
2 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |