As Pontes vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 2
ASP
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 0
ASP
68%
19%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ASP
2 - 3
BOI
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ASP
1 - 0
SAN
33%
24%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DUB
2 - 1
ASP
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NOI
1 - 1
ATM
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 3
NOI
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NOI
2 - 0
MIN
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOI
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
BOI
0 - 1
NOI
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |