Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-8
As Pontes vs Manlleu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
ASP
3 - 1
GIM
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASP
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
VAL
0 - 0
ASP
42%
29%
29%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1991 |
ASP
2 - 1
PON
64%
22%
14%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
ASP
2 - 2
CFP
50%
27%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manlleu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
FRA
0 - 1
MAN
34%
30%
36%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASP
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
MAN
2 - 3
BIN
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1991 |
MAN
2 - 0
BAL
79%
14%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
MOL
1 - 4
MAN
40%
30%
31%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |