As Pontes vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
ASP
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 0
RIB
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
ASP
35%
24%
41%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 1
BER
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 0
ASP
34%
25%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
VER
65%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ORD
1 - 1
CHO
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHO
4 - 0
GAL
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NEG
1 - 1
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
EXT
2 - 3
CHO
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |