As Pontes vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
BOI
0 - 1
ASP
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 2
BOU
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ASP
2 - 1
VER
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ORD
1 - 0
ASP
31%
25%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ASP
3 - 3
GAL
56%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
VER
67%
19%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ORD
1 - 2
ARO
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 1
GAL
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NEG
0 - 0
ARO
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
SIL
47%
24%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |