As Pontes vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
ASP
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 0
BER
84%
12%
4%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 2
ASP
28%
26%
47%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 4
BOI
56%
23%
21%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CUL
3 - 2
ASP
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 2
BOU
45%
26%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
ARO
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ORD
4 - 0
ARO
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BER
0 - 0
ARO
11%
20%
69%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |