AS Polisi vs KMC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
32.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
11º
16º
15º
29
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Polisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
YOU
29%
32%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 0
POL
36%
30%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
GGF
30%
32%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
YOU
2 - 0
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
POL
50%
27%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
COA
1 - 0
KMC
34%
31%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 0
KMC
38%
30%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BUM
1 - 0
KMC
30%
30%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
KMC
4 - 1
MKF
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SIM
3 - 1
KMC
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |