AS Polisi vs KMC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
32.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
11º
16º
15º
29
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Polisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
YOU
29%
32%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 0
POL
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
POL
0 - 1
GGF
30%
32%
38%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
YOU
2 - 0
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
NAM
1 - 2
POL
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
COA
1 - 0
KMC
34%
31%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 0
KMC
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BUM
1 - 0
KMC
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
KMC
4 - 1
MKF
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SIM
3 - 1
KMC
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |