AS Polisi vs Geita Gold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
37.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
11º
16º
15º
37
5º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Polisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 0
POL
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
COA
0 - 0
POL
34%
30%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
POL
2 - 2
KMC
36%
32%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
POL
1 - 2
YOU
29%
32%
39%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 0
POL
36%
30%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Geita Gold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 0
GGF
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
GGF
1 - 1
SBS
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
GGF
1 - 1
KAG
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AZA
1 - 1
GGF
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SIM
3 - 0
GGF
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |