Plomelin vs Saint-Malo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
80.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.6%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Malo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SAI
1 - 1
LMU
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
STA
1 - 2
SAI
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SAI
0 - 0
VIT
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
SAI
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAI
5 - 2
BOU
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |