Vauban Strasbourg vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
USB
0 - 1
MAR
4%
17%
79%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1998 |
USB
2 - 0
SAI
82%
12%
7%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
USB
1 - 2
STL
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1997 |
ARM
0 - 3
USB
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
USB
0 - 4
CHA
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |