OTR vs Étoile Filante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OTR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ASK
2 - 1
ASO
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ASO
1 - 0
DMG
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
EST
0 - 1
ASO
39%
29%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASO
1 - 0
TAM
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
GOM
0 - 1
ASO
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Étoile Filante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ETO
3 - 2
ASC
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
GBO
2 - 1
ETO
40%
23%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
ENT
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 0
ETO
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
ASB
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |