Novazzano vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
46.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAR
2 - 1
NOV
42%
21%
37%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
LOC
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
HOC
0 - 2
NOV
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
3 - 3
FCA
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
3 - 0
NOV
81%
11%
8%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 1
IBA
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
TAV
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAV
0 - 2
LUG
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
6 - 0
SAR
63%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TAV
2 - 2
ESC
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |