Novazzano vs Perlen-Buchrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
23%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
ASC
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
IBA
3 - 4
NOV
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
22%
19%
60%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
PER
1 - 2
IBA
38%
22%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HER
5 - 1
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PER
0 - 0
TAV
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
3 - 1
PER
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
PER
3 - 2
ESC
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |