Novazzano vs FC Altdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 0
NOV
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PER
2 - 2
NOV
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAR
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FCS
6 - 1
NOV
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 0
WIL
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Altdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 3
BRU
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
FCA
31%
21%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIL
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
HER
3 - 0
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 3
LUG
37%
23%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |