Novazzano vs FC Altdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
GOL
3 - 0
NOV
81%
11%
8%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 2
PER
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 1
NOV
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 1
ASC
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
NOV
58%
19%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Altdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 1
IBA
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
HER
2 - 0
FCA
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 1
TAV
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 2
FCA
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 1
ESC
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |