Novazzano vs Echallens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
75.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 0
NOV
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
HOC
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
FCA
3 - 1
NOV
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
GOL
16%
17%
68%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
YOU
4 - 2
ECH
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
ECH
1 - 1
VEV
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
ECH
1 - 3
ETO
59%
20%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ECH
2 - 1
LAU
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ECH
3 - 2
DUD
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |