Novazzano vs Brunnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
26%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Novazzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 0
NOV
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 0
ESC
48%
22%
30%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
IBA
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HER
7 - 0
NOV
66%
18%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Brunnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 3
IBA
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HER
6 - 3
BRU
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 0
TAV
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
BRU
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HOC
2 - 0
BRU
20%
20%
60%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -2 |