Mostiştea Ulmu vs Dunărea Călăraşi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
72.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mostiştea Ulmu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
IMO
0 - 1
MOS
23%
20%
56%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MOS
6 - 1
OLT
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MOS
3 - 1
UNI
19%
19%
62%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
FCV
0 - 0
MOS
33%
22%
44%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MOS
0 - 1
AFU
17%
24%
60%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 2
GLO
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 2
AER
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PET
0 - 1
DUN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
DUN
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 0
REC
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +3 |