Montlouis vs Chatellerault analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
14º
4º
13
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 30 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 32.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 55.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
DRO
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AVO
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
VSF
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 3
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
UNI
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 6
ROM
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
CHA
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
CHA
43%
24%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVO
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VSF
1 - 0
CHA
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -1 |