Montlouis vs Bergerac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
69.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MON
4 - 0
VIE
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VSF
0 - 4
MON
14%
18%
69%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
PAN
47%
22%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
MON
27%
22%
51%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ROM
2 - 1
BER
29%
26%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
LRO
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
STP
4 - 0
BER
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
ANG
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
1 - 1
BER
22%
24%
54%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |