Montlouis vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montlouis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
AVO
2 - 1
MON
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
VIE
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
DRO
1 - 2
MON
21%
21%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
EBL
84%
11%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 3
MON
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
DIE
1 - 1
AFV
43%
23%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AFV
0 - 2
LEH
27%
22%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALE
5 - 2
AFV
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AFV
1 - 3
AGC
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AFV
3 - 2
GRQ
63%
19%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |