Montferrand vs Union Saint-Jean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
69.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Saint-Jean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AGD
4 - 2
USJ
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
USJ
0 - 3
BEZ
10%
18%
73%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
USJ
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
USJ
0 - 6
SAM
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
USJ
72%
16%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |