Montchat Lyon vs Saint Marcel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
52%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Marcel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
COU
2 - 0
FSM
70%
19%
12%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FSM
2 - 1
SUD
25%
25%
51%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CHA
4 - 0
FSM
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
FSM
0 - 1
SAI
21%
22%
56%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
FSM
69%
19%
11%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |